Caleb Williams dazzles at Pro Day, Bears playoff odds, Klatt’s Mock Draft | NFL | FIRST THINGS FIRST

First Things First
20 Mar 202420:58

Summary

TLDRThe transcript discusses the hype surrounding the NFL draft and the potential of quarterback prospects, particularly focusing on Caleb. The conversation compares the current draft class with previous years, debating whether the hype is justified. It also touches on the historical success of top quarterbacks, the unpredictability of the position, and the strategic considerations for teams like the Patriots and Bears in the draft.

Takeaways

  • 🏈 The discussion revolves around the hype and expectations surrounding the NFL draft prospects, particularly the quarterback position.
  • 🌟 Caleb is considered the highest-regarded prospect since Andrew Luck, with a consensus belief that he is the number one pick.
  • πŸ€” There's a debate on whether the hype around Caleb is too high or too low, comparing his potential impact to past NFL draftees.
  • πŸ“ˆ Historical data on quarterbacks drafted number one and their success in the NFL is analyzed, with only a few living up to the hype.
  • 🎯 The conversation includes a comparison of the potential of various quarterback prospects and their college performances.
  • πŸ† The speakers discuss the rarity of drafting a truly great quarterback, citing examples from the past decades.
  • πŸ”„ There's a strategic consideration for teams like the Patriots, who may need to draft a quarterback, to either pick one early or trade down to accumulate more assets.
  • πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ The unpredictability of the success of drafted quarterbacks is highlighted, with many not living up to their college reputation.
  • πŸ“Š The importance of experience is noted, with a discussion on how the number of pass attempts in college may affect a quarterback's readiness for the NFL.
  • πŸ”’ A mock draft by Joel Clatt is mentioned, with six quarterbacks predicted to be taken in the first round.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of discussion in the transcript?

    -The main topic of discussion is the hype and expectations surrounding the NFL draft prospects, particularly focusing on the quarterback position and the potential impact of these players on their respective teams.

  • How does the speaker describe the hype around the highest regarded prospect since Andrew Luck?

    -The speaker describes the hype as being too low, considering the prospect is the highest regarded since Andrew Luck and has been compared to other great players like Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the Bears' chances of winning games with their new quarterback?

    -The speaker believes that the Bears are being underrated and that their new quarterback could lead them to win 10 or more games, which is considered a minority opinion.

  • What historical data is used to support the argument about the success of number one draft picks at the quarterback position?

    -The speaker cites the success rate of top quarterbacks drafted since the merger, mentioning that out of 27 quarterbacks taken number one, eight or nine have lived up to the hype, including names like Terry Bradshaw, John Elway, Troy Aikman, Payton Manning, Eli Manning, Matt Stafford, Cam Newton, and Joe Burrow.

  • What is the speaker's view on the importance of drafting a quarterback in the first round?

    -The speaker emphasizes that teams in need of a quarterback should take advantage of the draft and select a quarterback early, as it's rare to find a great quarterback who slips through to later rounds.

  • How does the speaker feel about the Patriots' draft strategy?

    -The speaker believes that the Patriots should draft a quarterback if they are not going to trade down, as it's crucial to take advantage of the opportunity when other teams are expected to draft quarterbacks early.

  • What is the speaker's stance on the correlation between college success and NFL success for quarterbacks?

    -The speaker acknowledges that just because a player was phenomenal in college, like winning the Heisman, it doesn't guarantee success in the NFL, citing examples of quarterbacks who were successful and those who were not.

  • What historical draft classes are mentioned as being particularly strong for quarterbacks?

    -The speaker mentions the 1983 draft class with Dan Marino and John Elway, and the 2000 draft class with Peyton Manning and Eli Manning as examples of strong quarterback classes.

  • What is the speaker's prediction for the 2022 QB draft class?

    -The speaker predicts that the 2022 QB draft class could potentially have two great quarterbacks, one long-term starter, and a couple of players who may not pan out, which they consider a good outcome.

  • How does the speaker address the concerns about drafting a quarterback based on college performance?

    -The speaker acknowledges that while college performance is a factor, it's not a guarantee of NFL success. They point out that many great NFL quarterbacks were not first-round picks and that teams should be cautious in their expectations.

  • What is the speaker's view on the importance of experience for quarterback prospects?

    -The speaker believes that experience is important, as it can indicate a closer to a finished product. They note that the 2022 QB draft class has several prospects with significant pass attempts, which could be a positive sign.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 NFL Draft Hype and Expectations

The paragraph discusses the hype surrounding the NFL Draft, particularly focusing on the potential of quarterback prospects. It compares the current level of hype with past drafts and legendary players like Andrew Luck. The speaker argues that the hype around the current prospects might be too low, given their potential to significantly impact their teams' success. The conversation touches on the unpredictability of the quarterback position in the NFL and the historical performance of top draft picks.

05:03

πŸ“‰ Draft Position and Team Strategy

This paragraph delves into the strategy teams might employ during the draft, especially when it comes to selecting quarterbacks. It highlights the importance of being in a position to draft a top-tier quarterback and the risks associated with passing on such an opportunity. The discussion includes historical examples of teams that successfully drafted quarterbacks and those that missed out, emphasizing the significance of making the right choice in the first round.

10:05

πŸ€” Assessing the Quarterback Class

The conversation shifts to evaluating the potential of the current quarterback class, with speculation on how many of them could turn out to be great, good, or busts. The speakers reference past quarterback classes to provide context for their predictions, acknowledging the rarity of drafting a Hall of Fame caliber quarterback. The paragraph also touches on the importance of experience and the potential outcomes for teams selecting later in the first round.

15:05

πŸ”„ Draft Strategy and Team Needs

This section focuses on the draft strategies for teams like the Patriots and the Vikings, discussing the potential outcomes of drafting either a quarterback or trading down. The speakers debate the merits of selecting a quarterback when there's a consensus on the top player's talent, and the risks of not securing a franchise quarterback in a draft rich with talent. The conversation also considers the team needs and the potential for drafting other positions of need.

20:05

πŸŽ₯ Final Thoughts on the Draft

The final paragraph wraps up the discussion with a focus on the Chicago Bears and their decision-making in the draft. It contrasts the current situation with past drafts and the potential trade-offs teams face when deciding between drafting a quarterback or another position. The speakers emphasize the importance of capitalizing on the opportunity to draft a potential star quarterback and the implications for teams like the Patriots who are in dire need of a franchise quarterback.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Aro Hall Show

The Aro Hall Show is likely a reference to a sports talk show or podcast, although it is not explicitly defined in the transcript. It seems to be a part of the conversation where the speakers discuss various sports topics, including football and draft prospects.

πŸ’‘New England

New England refers to the region in the northeastern United States, known for its strong sports culture, particularly American football. In the context of the transcript, it is used to discuss the potential for a football player to be drafted by a New England-based team, likely the New England Patriots.

πŸ’‘Chicago

Chicago, as used in the transcript, refers to the city and its professional football team, the Chicago Bears. The discussion revolves around the team's draft prospects and the potential for acquiring a highly regarded quarterback.

πŸ’‘Draft Prospects

Draft prospects are athletes who are eligible to be selected by professional sports teams in a draft. In the context of the transcript, the term refers to the highly regarded players coming out of college football who are expected to be chosen in the upcoming NFL draft.

πŸ’‘Quarterback

A quarterback is a position in American football responsible for leading the offensive team, calling plays, and throwing passes. In the transcript, the term is central to the discussion as the speakers evaluate the draft prospects of potential quarterbacks and their expected performance in the NFL.

πŸ’‘Hype

Hype refers to the intense excitement and anticipation surrounding an event or individual, often amplified by media and public discussions. In the transcript, it relates to the level of expectation and attention given to certain draft prospects and their potential impact on NFL teams.

πŸ’‘NFL Draft

The NFL Draft is an annual event where National Football League (NFL) teams select eligible college football players to join their rosters. It is a significant event that shapes the future of both the players and the teams that draft them.

πŸ’‘Andrew Luck

Andrew Luck is a former professional American football quarterback who played in the NFL. He is mentioned in the transcript as a comparison point for evaluating the hype and expectations surrounding current draft prospects.

πŸ’‘Super Bowl

The Super Bowl is the annual championship game of the NFL, played between the winners of the National Football Conference (NFC) and the American Football Conference (AFC). It is used in the transcript to discuss the achievements of quarterbacks and the potential for draft prospects to lead teams to this prestigious event.

πŸ’‘Patriots

The New England Patriots are an NFL team based in the Greater Boston area. In the transcript, the Patriots are mentioned in discussions about their draft strategy and the potential for acquiring a new quarterback to improve the team's performance.

πŸ’‘Caleb

Caleb is likely a reference to a specific draft prospect, presumably a quarterback, who is highly regarded and expected to be a top pick in the NFL Draft. The speakers discuss his potential and the hype surrounding him.

Highlights

The discussion revolves around the hype and expectations surrounding the potential draft prospects, particularly focusing on the quarterback position.

The comparison of the current prospect's hype to that of Andrew Luck, who was regarded as a once-in-a-generation talent.

The debate on whether the Bears should move on from Justin Fields and the implications of drafting a new quarterback.

The historical context of high draft picks and their success in the NFL, with only eight out of 27 number one picks living up to the hype.

The argument that the hype around the current quarterback class is too low, given the potential impact of a great quarterback on a team's win-loss record.

The discussion of the difficulty in predicting successful quarterbacks, with many great college quarterbacks not translating their success to the NFL.

The historical analysis of the best quarterback classes and the likelihood of the current class being one of the best.

The importance of experience and the number of pass attempts for the 2021 first-round quarterbacks compared to previous classes.

The strategy for teams picking later in the draft, with the possibility of trading down or taking a risk on a quarterback.

The potential impact of drafting a quarterback on a team's season expectations, using the Bears as an example.

The debate on whether a team should draft a quarterback based on need or best player available.

The discussion on the importance of surrounding a quarterback with talented players to maximize their impact.

The argument that the Patriots should draft a quarterback due to their desperate need for one.

The potential risks and rewards for teams drafting later and the possibility of missing out on a generational talent.

The emphasis on the unpredictability of the draft and the hype cycle surrounding quarterbacks.

The conclusion that the hype around the current quarterback class might be underestimated, with the potential for more success than anticipated.

Transcripts

00:00

what is that it's not the Aro Hall Show

00:03

said that that's up here your best yeah

00:05

BR said he wouldn't help me he said

00:07

quote it's not my fault you broke

00:10

yall Weir it was I'm facts Overfield

00:13

y'all know that in everything first

00:15

things first today just for the record

00:17

New England also cares about football

00:19

yeah they don't have the number one pick

00:20

well I'm just saying if he's looking for

00:22

a place that really cares overjoy I'm

00:24

just saying wow I'm not saying anything

00:26

can I just real quick before we do that

00:28

since we just got that sound I think

00:30

he's trying I'm just going to play pop

00:32

psychologist for a moment trying to

00:35

balance between the arrogance associated

00:38

with assuming oh I'm definitely going to

00:41

Chicago and with you know the oh I want

00:45

to be there while also leaving open the

00:47

possibility that maybe New England or

00:50

somebody else makes such a great offer

00:52

the Bears move back a spot and he's not

00:53

pot committed saying this is the only so

00:57

maybe I'm being too generous there but

00:59

that's I think maybe one of the things

01:00

that happened there but go ahead sorry

01:03

we had a question it's the hype around I

01:04

know we had a question but you were too

01:06

busy you looking for yeah saw you were

01:09

like I lost it for a minute where I

01:12

could tell I can tell exactly right too

01:17

high too low or just right chef's kiss

01:20

uh somehow the hype's too low and I

01:23

think I can prove it to you brew all

01:25

right just for the context of it he is

01:29

the highest EST regarded Prospect to

01:32

come out of school since Andrew Luck

01:35

he's a better he's a higher more highly

01:36

regarded Prospect than even the prince

01:38

that is so sense luck and obviously

01:40

momes is I think the greatest player

01:43

we've ever seen he was the 10th pick he

01:45

and so far as prospects yeah how what

01:48

was the hype surrounding Andrew Luck

01:51

well the Colts without really thinking

01:54

about it that much said pton Manning get

01:56

the hell out of here two years removed

01:58

from pton being League MVP

02:00

and them going to a Super Bowl they said

02:02

we are moving on because of this guy

02:06

there was real discussion about whether

02:08

or not the Bears should move on from

02:11

Justin fields for weeks postseason up

02:14

until it became

02:16

very was injured I'm trying to he was

02:18

injured at pton missed one year but it's

02:21

nobody thought his career was over you

02:22

had a bunch of teams still going after

02:24

him the reason they got the number one

02:25

pick was because he had missed the

02:26

entire season and he was 36 he turned

02:28

out pretty good had four more you know

02:31

years went to two Super Bowls won an MVP

02:33

broke all the records for passing his

02:35

first or second year in Denver so my

02:37

point being there has been let the for a

02:41

player of this caliber walking into this

02:45

situation that the only actual critique

02:48

of him is he tries to a football

02:51

critique is he might try to hard to make

02:54

great plays which lead to the sacks and

02:57

the only other critique you hear is ah

03:00

we think he's soft cuz he cried that one

03:02

time and because he paints his nails

03:04

which to me is nonsense but I understand

03:05

I'm not NFL front offices there should

03:07

be more hype it shouldn't necessarily be

03:09

win Bama level hype but it certainly

03:12

should be right now he is being hyped

03:14

the same amount as last year's draft

03:16

class or the year no I think he's being

03:20

way hyp hyped way more than that you do

03:22

yeah where everywhere the I mean he's

03:25

the consensus number one there are a few

03:27

oh Jaden Daniels I get it try but I mean

03:31

for two years now he's been hyped like I

03:34

think it's too H and I like Caleb I like

03:37

him better than I like Bryce young you

03:39

guys know I was more high on CJ Stout so

03:41

I like him better than I like Bryce

03:42

young I think he'll be really good I

03:44

think he's got a chance but the hype is

03:46

too high have we not learned that there

03:49

is no guarantee at the quarterback

03:52

position yeah I agree when you I mean

03:54

just cuz a guy was phenomenal in college

03:57

just CU he won the Heisman means nothing

03:59

in the NFL we've seen look 27

04:02

quarterbacks since the merger all right

04:05

in the Super Bowl era 27 quarterbacks

04:07

have been taken number one in the draft

04:11

I eight of them have lived up to it and

04:14

Terry Bradshaw John Elway Troy Aman

04:17

Payton Manning Eli Manning Matt Stafford

04:20

Cam Newton I'm gon throw him in there uh

04:23

and Joe burrow if you want to throw luck

04:25

in I mean we had the injury you know he

04:27

he retired early lived up to it just had

04:30

a shortened career because of injury but

04:31

that's okay if you go luck golf do you

04:34

go go okay so eight or nine if you go

04:38

luck out of 27 and here's the other

04:40

thing Fair the top quarterbacks ever

04:44

only two of them say two of the top 10

04:48

were drafted number one ever Patrick

04:51

Mahomes you said it 10th pick CH uh uh

04:54

Tom Brady we know sixth round Aaron

04:56

Rogers 24th overall Dan Marino 27th

04:59

overall six quarterback taken in his

05:02

draft Joe Montana third round overall

05:05

third round last week of the third round

05:07

fourth quarterback ever taken Drew Brees

05:10

second round Brett Favre second round

05:12

Roger starback 10th round I know that's

05:14

way back but I'm just saying like to the

05:17

Judgment more than any other position to

05:20

to predict a great quarterback in the

05:24

NFL so I actually disagree with you on

05:26

that because I I just gave numbers so

05:29

and so I'll give the same set data point

05:31

but looked at it from a slightly

05:33

different angle which is in the last 15

05:37

from Stafford to now there have been

05:40

seven consensus number one picks so like

05:44

Bryce was not a consensus number one

05:46

there was real debate Baker was not a

05:48

consensus it wasn't a ton of debate I

05:50

don't think it was a ton of debate

05:52

people led the reporting is when the

05:54

Panthers traded up for the pick well for

05:56

the Panthers okay so my point is went

06:00

number one but there was there was not a

06:02

he was not the consensus number one the

06:04

guys that everyone knew was going number

06:06

one all of them were the best

06:08

quarterbacks in their class at a minimum

06:10

no so yes jamus and G were the best

06:14

quarterbacks in their CL but I actually

06:16

don't think either one of those guys was

06:18

a consensus number one there was real

06:20

discussion if Mariota was going to go

06:21

one there was real discussion if if wi

06:23

was going to go one Stafford was a

06:25

consensus one Sam Bradford who we can

06:27

say was disappointing for number one

06:29

pick was the best in his class cam luck

06:32

Kyler was the best in his class Joe

06:34

burrow I believe I know some people

06:36

think Herbert's better I disagree with

06:37

them and Trevor for all the criticisms

06:39

of Trevor was the best in his class the

06:41

question I would have for you brew is

06:43

based on this same thing it seems like

06:45

you believe and I'm not trying to put

06:47

words I'll tell me if I'm right that no

06:49

quarterbacks should really be hyped

06:52

going into the draft because you think

06:54

it's such a crap shoot I think it should

06:56

be tempered a bit that's all and I and I

06:58

think I think the hypest I mean and I'm

07:01

not picking on you but he's on the

07:03

mountain you know during the season and

07:05

and I think most there you weren't the

07:06

only one hyping him up people love C and

07:09

fine that's fine I have heard some

07:11

football criticism he's not an ontime

07:13

quarterback the footworks is a bit shaky

07:15

like I I there I I just think it needs

07:19

to be tempered because we've seen too

07:20

many guys that were great in col Trevor

07:24

the verdict still out on Trevor I mean

07:26

is he going to really be all that I'm

07:28

not saying he won't but the verdict

07:29

still out but so the the re oh go ahead

07:31

wildad the reason that I think the I

07:34

said the other day and yesterday that I

07:37

think the Bears are going to win 10 plus

07:40

games and that right now is a minority

07:43

opinion that to me speaks to the hype

07:46

being too low because excellent

07:49

quarterbacks the when they come in

07:53

Impact winning by at least two games

07:55

usually three or four Russ Russell

07:58

Wilson who had a great rookie they went

08:00

up plus four wins Andrew Luck they went

08:02

up plus n wins RG3 they went up plus

08:06

five wins CJ they went up plus seven

08:09

Baker Trevor it did not happen you were

08:11

right and they fired the

08:13

coach Tyler improved the the Cardinals

08:16

record by two and a half wins CU they

08:18

got a tie Baker by seven wins like the

08:21

idea to not expect that if I guess my

08:25

point is the fact that the bearss are

08:27

not expected to be fighting for the

08:28

playoffs means I think Caleb is being

08:31

underrated because they were a seven-

08:33

win team a year ago that we all think

08:35

added Talent this off season and is

08:37

getting better quarterback so go ahead

08:40

the question I would have for you is and

08:42

the reason

08:43

why I think your best take is like the

08:45

Bears aren't act don't actually didn't

08:47

actually earn the number one Pi that's

08:49

not even my take that's just a fact but

08:51

no one's saying it's Carolina's pick

08:52

yeah it's like if you're like I don't

08:54

think he would take Carolina the

08:55

playoffs this year but here's the

08:56

question do you I think it's harder to

08:58

get from 7 to 10 10 then if you were a

09:00

Carolina to go from did they have one

09:02

win or two wins to go to go from two to

09:05

five yeah but so Russ took that team to

09:07

the playoffs luck took him to the

09:08

playoffs RG3 took him to the playoffs CJ

09:10

stra took him to the playoffs Baker took

09:12

over a team that was 1 and 31 its

09:15

previous two years and they went seven

09:18

eight and one you know what I but it's

09:19

easy to get I think it's not that hard

09:21

to get to five win six win but I think

09:24

it's good yeah exactly hard to get from

09:26

mediocre to good which is why I just

09:28

mentioned four quarterbacks in a row

09:31

that took their teams to the playoffs as

09:32

rookies that took them from mediocre or

09:35

awful to good the Seahawks weren't awful

09:37

they were mediocre Russ made them better

09:39

the Cults were obviously awful luck got

09:41

him to 11 wins the Washington was a six

09:45

win team or a five- win team RG3 got

09:47

double digits the Texans were terrible

09:49

and it was it was the coach and Will

09:51

Anderson and you know it was a lot that

09:53

came in that took him over the top yeah

09:55

okay uh Joel clatt released his mock

09:57

draft on sports.com which has six

10:00

quarterbacks going in the first round

10:02

Caleb to the Bears Drake to DC Jaden

10:04

Daniels to the Patriots JJ to the

10:06

Vikings Bo to Denver and then penx to

10:09

the Dolphins is what might be you know

10:12

the end of TW is rain maybe I don't know

10:15

need a backup so Brew what do you think

10:17

are realistic expectations for this QB

10:21

class maybe one quarterbacks great two

10:25

are good you know and then several are

10:28

bust and backups that would be good by

10:30

the way right that if you if you are

10:33

you're saying three quarterbacks are

10:34

good plus that would be a great class

10:38

that would be a great that would a

10:39

phenomenal class cuz I'm I'm looking at

10:40

and I brought up the history earlier

10:43

generally they're about five or six

10:46

great quarterbacks great like Hall of

10:49

Fame caliber in a decade all right and

10:52

and so maybe I'm arguing against what I

10:54

just said we already got several how

10:57

many everybody can't be great like every

10:59

quarterback is not going to be great

11:01

every team's not going to have a great

11:03

quarterback we got SE we the obviously

11:06

momes Lamar Joe burrow Josh Allen are

11:09

great and then you got CJ stra looks

11:12

like he's on that path jayen I get it he

11:15

was down but possibly Jaylen Justin

11:17

Herbert Dak I mean Tua perie like you

11:20

can go on and on Stafford I didn't even

11:22

me like every how many great

11:24

quarterbacks are there going no I got

11:26

Trevor down but you're Trevor Jordan

11:28

love

11:29

every team's not going to have a great

11:31

quarterback so I so I so it could be all

11:33

of them don't pan out so I looked at it

11:35

a little historically but a little

11:37

differ which is what are the best

11:39

classes and so what do we know the high

11:41

water mark is so everyone points to 83

11:44

cuz 83 you had lway Kelly and Marino but

11:47

to that that's great but to Bru point

11:50

you also had blackl een and kenel Bryan

11:52

I know kenel Bryan made a couple Pro

11:53

bowls ton or Tony e made a couple one of

11:56

the two of them made a couple Pro bowls

11:58

my AP but you had three amazing

12:00

quarterbacks in it the the worry is

12:03

probably that it's more like 99 much

12:06

less 2021 99 couch Donovan who was

12:09

really good Achilles Smith injuries

12:11

Dante call Pepper who looked like he was

12:13

going to be good injuries and then Cade

12:15

MCN now nothing and then O So 04 it's

12:17

either 83 or 04 is the best quarterback

12:20

classes ever Eli Rivers Big Ben with JP

12:23

lman as the other for first rounder and

12:26

then sneaky one to keep your eye on is

12:29

2020

12:30

2020 first round quarterbacks Joe burrow

12:34

Justin Herbert Tua Jordan love so that's

12:38

like the most optimistic one where it's

12:40

like oh you might have four long-term

12:43

starters there so what I think is most

12:46

likely is the most realistically

12:50

optimistic Wilds is two awesome

12:53

quarterbacks okay one more long-term

12:56

starter and then two guys that don't

12:59

pound out that's the best case the worst

13:01

case is what we just saw in 2021 where

13:04

four objectively fail and there's

13:07

another one in Trevor that I

13:10

theage you guys

13:13

say probably what's most realistic is

13:16

one very good or great one that's

13:19

probably I I think maybe most realistic

13:21

Josh figured this out okay this has been

13:23

a big mystery and then Josh just came

13:25

into did yeah the conference room he's

13:27

like by the way I figured this out

13:29

thanks Josh we should probably have a

13:30

press conference or something so he did

13:32

uh I labeled this just as like

13:34

experience makes a difference 20121

13:37

first round quarterbacks again this was

13:39

a little bit of covid year which hurt uh

13:41

Trey Lance obviously uh Trevor is the

13:44

only guy there with over 900 pass

13:48

attempts now maybe it's just like you

13:50

had starters in front of you obviously

13:52

uh Mack was behind Tua and Jaylen at one

13:56

point Trey just didn't play that whole

13:58

his whole senior year uh Zach played two

14:01

years Justin transferred and played a

14:04

little bit now this class in comparison

14:07

you've got five guys it's too much over

14:10

a thousand B Knicks almost has

14:13

2,000 pass attemp too much right and

14:17

pedex has been there for a long time too

14:19

but but it's the experience when guys

14:21

come in there Kenny piy had experience

14:23

yeah it's also the concern know I just

14:26

your graphic but I'm like

14:29

need

14:32

2000 2000 is too much and it does and it

14:36

does make you worried to me at least

14:38

that whatever they're closer to a

14:40

finished product than normally you would

14:43

like like the same age as Jaylen her

14:45

he's like a year younger than Jaylen

14:47

right that's a good that's why I

14:48

wouldn't that Shawn pyton draft him

14:50

he'll be the next great quarterback for

14:52

the Broncos do it uh but the so this is

14:55

why I actually look at this conversation

14:59

as a Patriots conversation a Vikings

15:02

conversation a Broncos a Raiders

15:05

conversation because every team other

15:10

than the Bears and I'll say Washington

15:14

because we've had a handful of classes

15:15

that have had two awesome quarterbacks

15:17

yes um you know what I mean it's not

15:19

that are hoping and praying for one of

15:23

two outcomes either that this actually

15:27

is going to be in in the argument for

15:30

greatest quarterback class ever seems

15:32

unlikely or that one of the teams in

15:36

front of them makes a mistake they are

15:38

at the mercy of that if your plan is I

15:42

am taking the third fourth or fifth

15:45

quarterback off the board then you in

15:48

the first round not like you know what I

15:49

mean not a flyer late round then the

15:52

only way there's only two ways for that

15:54

to work out for you way one you happen

15:57

to do that in what will go down as one

15:59

of if not the greatest quarterback class

16:01

ever or the team in Fr one or two of the

16:05

teams in front of you picked the wrong

16:07

guy it you are not really in control of

16:10

your destiny in that regard but when we

16:13

look at the history it's worked out a

16:15

lot where a guy that was picked late as

16:18

I said earlier becomes a great

16:19

quarterback and it it may not let's say

16:22

Caleb doesn't pan out it's not a mistake

16:24

if Chicago takes him it's just I mean

16:27

man this guy came out of no where and in

16:30

the fourth round it was great so but brw

16:32

but I'm not talking listen like a lot of

16:33

people are throwing out I'm not saying I